{"id":1392,"date":"2022-12-08T15:22:39","date_gmt":"2022-12-08T15:22:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lifeadaptablues.eu\/es\/?p=1392"},"modified":"2023-02-08T16:30:41","modified_gmt":"2023-02-08T16:30:41","slug":"que-va-a-pasar-con-el-clima-en-el-futuro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lifeadaptablues.eu\/pt\/que-va-a-pasar-con-el-clima-en-el-futuro\/","title":{"rendered":"What will happen to the climate in the future?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Knowing what might happen to the climate in the future requires the design of GHG emission scenarios. Scenarios estimate possible future human GHG emissions under different economic, social and technological scenarios.<\/p>\n

With these scenarios, GHG concentrations in the atmosphere are known, which are incorporated into climate models. These models are like our crystal ball for projecting the climate of the future.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>

About the author<\/h3><\/div>

Alicia Polidura P\u00e9rez<\/p>\n

Marine biologist<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>

The scenarios only incorporate the effect of human emissions, as changes in natural factors such as solar activity or volcanism cannot be predicted.<\/p>\n

These models simulate the climate on the basis of the GHG concentrations obtained from the different scenarios and those that make it possible to project the different climatic variables: temperature, rainfall, winds, etc.<\/p>\n

The scenarios presented by the IPCC in its 2007 document are four (one with three possibilities). They range from B1, the lowest emissions scenario, to A1FI, the highest emissions scenario.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Global temperature changes<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"Temperature projections for the period 2000-2100 are in all scenarios for a rapid increase in global average temperature, with warming of 2 to 7\u00b0C (end of the 21st century) over pre-industrial conditions.<\/p>\n

Changes in surface temperature<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Future surface warming will not be homogeneous.<\/p>\n